Sunday, September 11, 2011

Dollar Break Out Deflation Incoming

The dollar has finally broken out and may signify some serious deflation ahead.  I see the following happening on the following time scales:

  • All week                      A significant week of selling if we pass below 1150 on the S&P

  • End of Month              Selling into the beginning of October getting as low as 1040

  • October/November     Recovery Rally to 1240 area.  Just under Dow 12,000 for our Dow theorists

  • End of Year                Selling into 2012

  • Next year to May       This is going to be one hellava rollercoaster ride.  The Bull/Bear fight will be left unresolved

  • Latter half of 2012      = Fail


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